UK must rebuild trade relationship with EU, says BoE boss; China-US shipments slump – business live | Business
UK must 'do everything' to rebuild trade with EU, Bank of Engand boss says
The Governor of the Bank of England has called for Britain to “rebuild” its trade relationship with the European Union, as the UK celebrates yesterday’s trade deal with the US.
AndrewBailey has told the BBC that reversing the post Brexit hit to UK-EU trade would be “beneficial”.
And while Bailey was keen not to take a view on Brexit, as a public official, he also argued that a closer relationship between the UK and the EU would help the economy and inflation.
Bailey says:
“It would be beneficial. Having a more open economy to trade with the European Union. Because there has been a fall-off in goods trade with the EU over recent years.
“It is important we do everything we can to ensure that whatever decisions are taken on the Brexit front do not damage the long-term trade position. So I hope that we can use this to start to rebuild that relationship.
That relationship could be improved later this month, when a crucial EU-UK summit is held.
As we covered in yesterday’s blog, Bailey was also pleased that the US and UK had reached a trade deal, telling the Beeb:
“It demonstrates that trade deals are important. Trade deals can be done, and the trade is important…honestly, it seems an unpromising landscape at times.
But I hope that we can use these deals to rebuild the world trading system.”
But while Donald Trump hailed that agreement yesterday, it still leaves the UK facing 10% tariffs on shipments to the US.
Key events
Germany's DAX at record high after recovering trade war losses
Photograph: Daniel Roland/AFP/Getty Images
Germany’s stock market has recovered all its losses following Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff shock five weeks ago.
The Dax, which tracks the largest companies listed in Frankfurt, has risen over its previous record high – set in March – this morning.
Bloomberg reports:
The DAX, which had previously lost as much as 16% amid heightened market volatility due to Trump’s tariff announcements, has recovered as the new government commitment’s to significant fiscal stimulus is seen fueling economic growth.
The German index has become so popular among investors that it’s now relatively expensive, trading at the highest premium against its European peers since 2009.
Germany’s DAX Index became the first European gauge to surpass its March record high, recouping all declines sparked by US President Donald Trump’s trade war https://t.co/BJyjEU6W0u
Shares are rising in London in early trading as well.
The FTSE100 index of blue-chip shares has gained 32 points, or 0.4%, to 8564 points.
Retailer JDSports, whose US operations are vulnerable to US tariffs on goods made in China, are up 2%, among the top risers.
Officials from the US and China are due to hold talks in Switzerland this weekend, which may be the first step toward resolving their trade war.
The US-UK trade deal has also lifted sentiment in the City, reports Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown:
“The diplomatic offensive presented conjointly by President Trump and Keir Starmer from Washington and Solihull has ignited a feint spark of optimism in equity markets. The coincidence with VE day commemorations seemed designed to underline the special relationship between the two allies.
With details emerging late in the day it wasn’t enough to prevent a down day on the FTSE [yesterday]but sentiment has picked up this morning.
There may be some disappointment that the baseline 10% tariffs remain in place but for certain industries the picture on trade restrictions are looking up. While pharmaceuticals have escaped the US Presidents wrath for now, UK companies in the sector and other knowledge-intensive areas have been promised preferential treatment.
As yet, that’s not come at the expense of lifting the 2% Digital Services Tax Britain applied to the likes of YouTube and eBay, but with more talks to come on a separate digital services deal, it’s likely to form part of negotiations.
Trade deal optimism lifts European markets
European stock markets have opened higher, amid hopes of progress in the US trade wars.
Germany’s DAX has jumped by 0.6% at the start of trading, with France’s CAC up 0.5%, with suggestions that the US-UK trade deal is a sign that other countries will be able to reach agreement with Washington too.
GERMANY'S DAX RISES 0.6%, SURPASSES MARCH RECORD HIGH
Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at SwissquoteBank, says news of yesterday’s US-UK deal resonated positively across global financial markets – even though Trump hasn’t lifted his baseline 10% tariff on UK goods.
Ozkardeskaya explains:
Not only do we have a new pope this week, but we also have the first deal in Trump’s global trade war - between the UK and the US. Trump’s enthusiastic announcement, complete with a lot of CAPITAL LETTERS, helped inflate sentiment, making this US-UK deal feel bigger than it actually is.
I mean, the fact that the two countries could agree on a few points is a good start, but the UK entered the negotiations with a tariff rate of 10% and left the table with... a tariff rate of 10%. Sure, the tariffs on cars were pulled lower from 27.5% to 10% — leading to an almost 14% jump in Aston Martin.
Rolls Royce’s plane engines are exempt from tariffs in exchange for a pledge from British Airways to buy $10bn worth of Boeing planes — Rolls Royce jumped by more than 3.5%. The tariff on UK steel will be cut to zero, while British farmers will benefit from tariff-free quotas — just like their US counterparts. The two countries also agreed to keep working on a digital agreement.
But again, the 10% tariffs remain. So yes, it’s a deal — but is it a big deal? One person at Axios even said that the UK was the “low-hanging fruit of trade deals” and that negotiations won’t be as simple with others. We’ll see.
Yesterday, Donald Trump teased us by revealing that an unnamed UK company had bought $10bn of planes from Boeing.
And this morning, BritishAirways’ parent company has revealed itself as the buyer.
International Airlines Group (IAG) stated, in its latest financial results, that it has ordered 53 aircraft for its medium-term long-haul fleet requirements.
The Group has ordered 21 Airbus A330-900neo aircraft and 32 Boeing 787-10 aircraft for delivery from 2028 to 2033.
The aircraft are mainly for replacement, with around one third for growth in IAG’s core markets.
Minister insist Trump won't have veto of Chinese investment in UK
Reports that the US will have a veto over Chinese investment in Britain as a result of the UK-US trade deal are “complete nonsense”, Treasury minister Darren Jones has insisted this morning.
The Telegraph reported that such a veto is part the deal, but Treasury minister MrJones told Times Radio:
“This story on the front page of the Telegraph is complete nonsense. I mean, I’m at a bit of a loss as to know where it’s come from. I think it was a Conservative Party criticism.
“But as you said, we’ve not even published all of the documents yet, so I’m not quite sure how they were able to come up with that.
“I can be completely categorical with you there is no such thing as a veto on Chinese investment in this trade deal, this is not what this trade deal is about.
“It is a sectoral trade deal in relation to tariffs in key sectors, in the way that we’ve just been talking about. So I’d suggest the Conservative Party reads the documents and they maybe come back for a second go.”
Our FirstEdition newsletter has kicked the tires on the US-UK trade deal, showing that it is far from comprehensive, but will help crucial British industries such as car-making.
The broader economic impact may be limited, though. As our economics editor HeatherStewart put it:
“It’s very important to have this piece of good news to take to the public and now that the Bank of England has cut interest rates they’re going to have positive headlines about people’s mortgages going down and this deal being done and that will help boost consumer and business confidence,
But in terms of the broader economic impact this deal is really quite small.”
UK must 'do everything' to rebuild trade with EU, Bank of Engand boss says
The Governor of the Bank of England has called for Britain to “rebuild” its trade relationship with the European Union, as the UK celebrates yesterday’s trade deal with the US.
AndrewBailey has told the BBC that reversing the post Brexit hit to UK-EU trade would be “beneficial”.
And while Bailey was keen not to take a view on Brexit, as a public official, he also argued that a closer relationship between the UK and the EU would help the economy and inflation.
Bailey says:
“It would be beneficial. Having a more open economy to trade with the European Union. Because there has been a fall-off in goods trade with the EU over recent years.
“It is important we do everything we can to ensure that whatever decisions are taken on the Brexit front do not damage the long-term trade position. So I hope that we can use this to start to rebuild that relationship.
That relationship could be improved later this month, when a crucial EU-UK summit is held.
As we covered in yesterday’s blog, Bailey was also pleased that the US and UK had reached a trade deal, telling the Beeb:
“It demonstrates that trade deals are important. Trade deals can be done, and the trade is important…honestly, it seems an unpromising landscape at times.
But I hope that we can use these deals to rebuild the world trading system.”
But while Donald Trump hailed that agreement yesterday, it still leaves the UK facing 10% tariffs on shipments to the US.
Introduction: Chinese exports to US slump
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets, and the world economy.
Trade between the US and China cooled sharply last month, new data shows, as Donald Trump’s tariff war hit demand.
The latest trade data from China shows that shipments to the US fell 21%, year-on-year, in April. That indicates the tariffs imposed on China by Trump, which rose to 145% during April, hurt trade.
Shipments the other way fell too. China’s imports from the US fell by almost 14%, after Beijing’s tit-for-tat tariffing raised its tariffs on US goods to 125%.
But… the broader picture is that China’s overall exports jumped by 8.1% in April, year-on-year, beating forecasts for a 1.9% rise, while imports dipped by 0.2%.
Economists have suggested that countries around the world are scrambling to take advantage of Donald Trump’s 90-day pause to the tariffs he announced at the start of April (not including China, though). That is leading to stronger demand for China’s materials.
Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, says:
The numbers just confirmed what markets already suspected: Trump’s tariff blitz is biting, and hard. Chinese exports to the U.S. cratered 21% in April, the sharpest drop in years, while exports to ASEAN, Africa, LatAm, and even the EU surged. The global supply chain is being rerouted in real time.
On the surface, China’s overall April export growth held up—rising 8.1% YoY. But strip out the spin, and it’s clear the headline resilience masks a fundamental shift. The U.S. is no longer China’s growth engine. The manufacturing juggernaut is diverting flow wherever the tariff pain isn’t.
Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand—still in the 90-day reciprocal tariff grace period—saw double-digit percentage surges in China-bound exports. These aren’t one-off distortions. This is structural repositioning.
The agenda
9.40am BST: Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey to give keynote address at the Reykjavik economic conference 2025
12.15pm BST: Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill gives the national Monetary Policy Committee agency briefing
